Why our model (still) hates the Lakers
First off, we are responding to Shannon Sharpe’s call on Fox Sports’ “Undisputed”. Not the call to bet $ 100,000 on our model’s projection that the Lakers will finish ninth in the NBA Western Conference – which far exceeds our humble podcast’s budget – but the call to explain why our model won’t. not see the Lakers vying to win. The answer is also quite simple. The Lakers, as a team, are old, they have injury issues, and the supporting cast around LeBron James and Anthony Davis just isn’t that great. Now, if the two of them stay healthy and find a way to click with Russell Westbrook, they could be very dangerous. Our model doesn’t prevent the Lakers from making a playoff run; in fact, their odds are improving because, as you may know, LeBron tends to do well in the playoffs. The team our role model sleeps on may be the Warriors: we’re only giving them a 19% chance of making the playoffs for the same reason of relying on another aging superstar, Steph Curry. But this season can be an interesting test of how far a groundbreaking player like Steph or LeBron can move the needle.
Then we move on to the baseball playoffs and discuss how the Dodgers just need to relax. It’s understandable that they threw out all of their pitching staff and all of their pitching staff’s kitchen sinks at the Jokers game and the series against the Giants, but the tension was showing in their first two games against the Braves. , and we think they should take a moment to catch their breath. They can absolutely always win from behind, especially if their strikes improve. The Braves had a bunch of little things they missed, which is certainly to their credit. But it makes sense that even though the Dodgers only have a 36% chance of making the World Series, they still have a 28% chance of winning it. In the ALCS, we talk about the different ways that cheaters have thrived. Much of this streak has come from the fact that Boston are an extremely streaked team enjoying an exceptionally streaked moment (among other types of moments). But the Astros’ pitch hasn’t impressed this series, and we think they really need some of their old form and / or trash if they hope to progress.
Finally, in the Rabbit Hole, Neil celebrates the Seattle Kraken winning their first franchise game by exploring the time it took for expansion teams in hockey and other sports to record a W. For the happy NHL d ‘expansion, it turns out the Kraken is on pace to be pretty normal. (No one, it seems, can be the Vegas Golden Knights, who have won their first two in a row.) Seattle won the second game in its history, putting it ahead of teams like the Minnesota Wild, the Nashville Predators and the Carolina Hurricanes. And while the Kraken are still on the hunt for a second win, they seem likely to get it faster than the Ottawa Senators, who tanked before the tank was a thing and didn’t score a. second before the game 23.
What we’re watching this week: