The Dallas Mavericks aim to bounce back Sunday night at the American Airlines Center. The Mavericks host the Golden State Warriors in Game 3 of the 2022 Western Conference Finals. Dallas trails 2-0 after a superstar performance from Stephen Curry led Golden State to its second straight win in this best-of-play series 7. The Warriors have won five of their last six games, while Dallas is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.

Tipping is at 9 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center. Dallas is favored by 2.5 points in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is 217.5. Before you lock in the Mavericks vs Warriors picks, be sure to check out SportsLine’s proven computer model NBA predictions and betting tips.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has earned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three seasons. Model enters the 2022 NBA Playoffs conference final round on a stunning 87-59 result over all NBA top picks, fetching over $2,100. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set her sights on Warriors vs Mavericks, and has just locked down her picks and predictions on the NBA playoffs. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs Warriors:

• Difference Warriors vs. Mavericks: Dallas -2.5
• Warriors vs. Mavericks over-under: 217.5 points
• Money line Warriors vs. Mavericks: Golden State +140, Dallas -160
• Warriors tickets vs. Mavericks: View Tickets on StubHub
• DAL: Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite
• GS: Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four Western Conference Finals games

Why the Warriors can cover

Curry put on a show in Golden State’s Game 2 win over Dallas, finishing with 32 points, eight rebounds and five assists. Curry knocked down 45.6% of his field goals in the playoffs, while averaging 26.8 points per game. The eight-time All-Star is a highly creative passer with terrific dribbling skills. He’s also been effective on the glass, recording seven or more rebounds in each of his last three games.

Andrew Wiggins was also an effective scorer for Golden State in the 2022 NBA Playoffs. In fact, Wiggins has scored 16 or more points in seven of his last eight games. The former No. 1 overall pick went 3-for-5 from 3-point range in Game 2, and he’ll be looking to be aggressive again on Sunday. Wiggins (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s contest, but is expected to take the floor in Dallas.

Why the Mavericks can cover

Guard Luka Doncic is a phenomenal all-around weapon for Dallas. Doncic can stack boards and assist with consistency while having a solid attacking game plan. The three-time All-Star can be unstoppable one-on-one with plenty of different ways to score. Doncic can finish in the paint and has a slick sweater. He leads the team in points (31.4), rebounds (9.4), assists (6.5) and steals (1.9).

Forward Reggie Bullock is a smooth and solid winger on the Dallas perimeter. Bullock knows how to create space and has a soft shot. The North Carolina product plays solid defense and is disciplined. Bullock is recording 11.1 points, 4.8 rebounds and shooting 40 percent from downtown. In his last outing, he was down 21 points, three boards and went 6 for 10 from a 3-point field.

How to make Mavericks vs Warriors picks

SportsLine’s model leans into the total, projecting a combined 210 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 60% of simulations. You can only see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Mavericks? And which side of the gap hits in more than 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Warriors spread you should jump to, all from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.