Patriots vs Buccaneers odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football pick, model predictions on run 123-81
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers face a rare situation during Sunday Night Football. In addition to Tom Brady’s return to Foxborough for the first time since leaving the New England Patriots, the Buccaneers will also aim to bounce back from a loss. Tampa Bay lost to the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3, and it was the franchise’s first loss since November 29, 2020. New England are also looking for a big win, as the Patriots aren’t. than 1-2 to start the 2021 campaign.
Gillette Stadium kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Buccaneers as 6.5-point favorites, while the total number of points Vegas thinks they’ll be scored is 49.5 in the latest Patriots vs Buccaneers odds. Before you make Buccaneers vs Patriots picks and NFL predictions, see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up nearly $ 7,900 per 100 players on the NFL’s top picks since its inception over six years ago. He enjoyed a 24-14 sizzle over the NFL’s top-rated picks last season, grossing over $ 800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on the NFL’s top picks stretching back to the 2017 season.
The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on NFL direct picks and has beaten over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that time. Whoever followed him is very high.
Now the model has set his sights on Buccaneers vs Patriots. You can go to SportsLine to see his choices. Now here are several NFL betting lines and trends for Buccaneers vs. Patriots:
- Spread Patriots vs Buccaneers: Buccaneers -6.5
- Patriots vs Buccaneers over-under: 49.5 points
- Patriots silver line vs. Buccaneers: Buccaneers -290, Patriots +235
- TB: The Over have struck in all three Buccaneers games this season
- NE: Patriots are 1-2 ATS this season
Featured Game | New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Why Tom Brady and the Buccaneers can cover
Brady remains one of the best players in the NFL and he creates a top level offense. Brady leads the league in completed passes (97) and touchdowns (10) in three games, and he’s No. 2 in the NFL with 1,087 passing yards. Beyond those impressive stats, he lands comfortably in the top 10 of the passer standings (109.3), with a huge rating for avoiding pressure, allowing a sack on less than four percent of his falls.
With Brady at the helm, the Buccaneers lead the league with 103 points, and it’s virtually impossible to stop for a full game. Tampa Bay averages 24 first downs per game, No. 7 in the NFL, and the Buccaneers also generate over 400 total yards in each game. With the Patriots only ranking 26th in the NFL scoring the offense for three weeks, the Buccaneers would apparently have the upper hand in a shootout situation.
Why Mac Jones and the Patriots can cover
The New England defense is pretty impressive. The Patriots are a leading unit when it comes to defense, allowing just 17 points per game, and allowing just 1.33 points per practice in 2021. Bill Belichick’s side are also in the top five. units in total defense (282.3 yards allowed per game) and first downs allowed (under 18 per game), and they’re No. 2 overall in passing yards allowed, allowing less than 160 per game.
For the season, New England allowed just three touchdown passes while generating five interceptions, and the opponents produced just 5.3 net yards per pass attempt, a top-five number. In addition to overall efficiency, the Patriots are also wreaking havoc, forcing turnover over 15.2% of possessions to land in the top eight in the NFL.
How to make choices between Patriots and Buccaneers
SportsLine’s model looks at the total, with the two teams expected to combine for 50 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap reaches more than 50% of the simulations. Go here to see who to choose.
So who wins the Buccaneers over the Patriots in Sunday Night Football? And which side of the gap reaches more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Buccaneers vs Patriots split you need to jump on Sunday, all from pattern 123-81 on his NFL picks, and find out.