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Home›Model›Hurricane Agatha makes landfall. View Spaghetti Patterns for Florida

Hurricane Agatha makes landfall. View Spaghetti Patterns for Florida

By Levi Bailey
May 31, 2022
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Just days before the official start of the 2022 hurricane season, Hurricane Agatha made landfall on Mexico’s southwest coast around 5 p.m. Monday, forecasters from the National Hurricane Center said.

Hurricane Agatha had maximum sustained winds near 105 mph upon landfall. As of 8 p.m., the maximum sustained winds decreased to nearly 80 mph with stronger gusts. Rapid weakening is expected as the hurricane moves further inland. Agatha is expected to weaken to a tropical storm this evening and dissipate over southeastern Mexico by late Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane Agatha is the first named storm of the 2022 Pacific season.

What Hurricane Agatha Could Mean for Florida

The National Hurricane Center’s five-day tropical forecast said Monday evening that there was a 50% chance that the remnants of Agatha could form a tropical system, which is expected to move slowly east or northeast in an area that could impact parts of Florida.

AccuWeather meteorologists said Agatha, as it crosses Mexico and enters the Bay of Campeche in the coming days, could re-develop into the Atlantic Basin’s first named storm. If it formed, this storm would be called Alex.

Regardless of development, local heavy rainfall is likely in parts of southern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, Belize and western Cuba throughout the week.

Some spaghetti models show that Florida will be hit by the remnants of the storm after passing through Mexico.

Use the map below to see the different spaghetti designs.

Experts predict ‘above average’ hurricane activity this year

Forecasters at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center predict above-average hurricane activity this year, which would make this the seventh consecutive above-average hurricane season. Forecasters predict a 65% chance of an above normal season, 25% chance of a near normal season and 10% chance of a below normal season.

Jigsha Desai leads digital audience teams that support newsrooms across the United States. Support local journalism by subscribing to your local news agency.

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